Interesting portal stat

[97and03]

All-conference G5 players who transfer to P5 for their final season are significantly less likely to get drafted or even get a camp invite:

Obviously this is a snapshot of only one time of player but a good “grass isn’t always greener” data point.

[untphd]

This should hang in the locker rooms.

[El Paso Eagle]

One problems you run into is that every player is being told and believes they are the exception.

[jtm0097]

Interesting data, thanks for sharing.

[DentonLurker]

NIL changes the game on this though. For most college football players, the reality is they won’t get drafted so if you can go get paid in college you should do it.

[meaniegreenie]

2 hours ago, El Paso Eagle said:

One problems you run into is that every player is being told and believes they are the exception.

Yeah, just like telling a 13yo that only a tiny percentage of players make it to the NFL.  They all think they are part of that group.

[97and03]

7 hours ago, DentonLurker said:

NIL changes the game on this though. For most college football players, the reality is they won’t get drafted so if you can go get paid in college you should do it.

I can’t argue with that, to be honest. I think I have said the same about some of the guys that left, like Tylor in basketball. He isn’t likely going to the NBA so might as well start out with a couple hundred grand in the bank while struggling to start a career.  Same for most football players, but the data does show those elite level G5 players have a better chance staying home in their last year. In general, if you think you won’t have an NFL a shot, sure that payday makes sense. 

Edited November 29, 2023 by 97and03