Worst Value Pick in 2022 is UTSA

Coach Andy Mac · June 22, 2022

Worst Value: UTSA +200

No team will suffer more turnover to the offensive roster in terms of production than UTSA. Running back Sincere McCormick moves on, as Arkansas transfer Trelon Smith looks to keep the ground attack moving for head coach Jeff Traylor.

Quarterback Frank Harris returns, but completing more big-time throws than turnover-worthy plays is the biggest handicap when teams don’t have to load the box to defend McCormick.

Spring is in the air, so is the football at UTSA's Spring Game. Here's some of the early action until we roll out some more at 9:45 on Max Sports. Frank Harris and Cam Peters with TD passes to this point. pic.twitter.com/4MsoVnxJ0C

— Chuck Miketinac (@MaxSportsSA) April 15, 2022

UTSA returns just 48% on the defensive side of the football, but maintaining a top-10 rank in Finishing Drives will be the key to winning Conference USA.

This is a tough schedule for the Roadrunners, who hit the road to face co-favorite UAB in November while hosting Western Kentucky and UTEP — two teams that are expected to compete for the conference.

Traylor is expected to win 4.7 conference games this season, putting UTSA in the mix for the championship game, along with UAB and Western Kentucky. Odds of winning Conference USA sit at +440, per Poisson Distribution, making the +200 odds inflated and a pass through the preseason.

read more: https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/college-football-betting-odds-picks-best-worst-conference-futures-value-opening-lines