Ncaa Men's Basketball Tournament Odds & Predictions

[KingDL1]

Sorry if this has been posted, I am not the most active in this Forum.

College Basketball Picks - NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament Odds & Predictions:

• No. 3 seeds have gone 81-15 versus No. 14 seeds in the first round.
  
  
• No. 4 seeds are 79-17 against No. 13 seeds in the first round.
  
  
• No. 5 seeds are just 65-31 against No. 12 seeds in the first round, making them most susceptible to a first round upset.
  
  
• No. 6 seeds have fared better against No. 11 seeds than No. 5s vs. No. 12s, with a 66-30 record in the first round.
  
  
• No. 7 seeds are 60-36 against No. 10 seeds.
  
  
• No. 8 seeds have lost more than they’ve won against No. 9 seeds with a 44-52 record in the first round.
  
  

[greenminer]

So which 8 seed are we gonna make our 1st round bizitch?

[KingDL1]

So which 8 seed are we gonna make our 1st round bizitch?

I would like to see us get a 12^th seed but a minimum of a 14^th seed.

14^th seed has at least a shot at an upset with 16^% historically.

12^th seed has a 32^% shot historically.

[untgeorge]

Sorry if this has been posted, I am not the most active in this Forum.

College Basketball Picks - NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament Odds & Predictions:

• 
  
  
• No. 3 seeds have gone 81-15 versus No. 14 seeds in the first round.
  
  
• No. 4 seeds are 79-17 against No. 13 seeds in the first round.
  
  
• No. 5 seeds are just 65-31 against No. 12 seeds in the first round, making them most susceptible to a first round upset.
  
  
• No. 6 seeds have fared better against No. 11 seeds than No. 5s vs. No. 12s, with a 66-30 record in the first round.
  
  
• No. 7 seeds are 60-36 against No. 10 seeds.
  
  
• No. 8 seeds have lost more than they’ve won against No. 9 seeds with a 44-52 record in the first round.
  
  

I think if you did this analysis for only the past ten years you would find the 12 seeds at nearly 50-50 vs the 5 seeds, and likewise the 11s vs the 6s and 10s vs 7s. I did an analysis a few years ago on the 2000 thru 2004 years but no longer have it; I could spend some time to prove this if people are interested if I can dig up old brackets.

The increase in wins which I believe exists by 9s thru 12s has occurred because the college game has become more balanced, and that has occurred because of the 64 team tournament.

[KingDL1]

I think if you did this analysis for only the past ten years you would find the 12 seeds at nearly 50-50 vs the 5 seeds, and likewise the 11s vs the 6s and 10s vs 7s. I did an analysis a few years ago on the 2000 thru 2004 years but no longer have it; I could spend some time to prove this if people are interested if I can dig up old brackets.

The increase in wins which I believe exists by 9s thru 12s has occurred because the college game has become more balanced, and that has occurred because of the 64 team tournament.

I do find it interesting and would love to see it. Does the 14^th seed get any better with with just 10 years?

Edited March 12, 2010 by KingDL1