Fun With Simulation: Mean Green 2022 Team vs 2021, 2020 (Probable), 2010 NCAA Tournament Teams

[Talon90]

Had some fun with this simulation site NCAA Game Simulator - NCAAGameSim.com

Simulated the '22, '21, '20 and '10 UNT tournament teams against each other (2020 probable tourney team) in 100 game sample on a neutral court.

Sad to report that based on these simulations show 2020 was the strongest team.  Unfortunately, we will never know how good they could have been 😔.

We have had a lot of debate on the board comparing last year to this year and it was pretty close.  This current team is not quite as strong as '20 and '10 Teams (according to these simulations).  

Would like to have used 2007 and 1987 tourney teams but it only goes back to 2010.

'22 vs '21 Team Matchup Simulation Stats

• This game has been simulated 100 times.
• North Texas (2022) has won 53 times (53.0%), won by > 20 pts 5 times (5.0%)
• North Texas (2021) has won 47 times (47.0%), won by > 20 pts 10 times (10.0%)
• The average score is North Texas (2022): 64.9 - North Texas (2021): 64.3, decided by < 5 pts 39 times (39.0%)
• The average first half score is North Texas (2022): 33.1 - North Texas (2021): 33.0
• The game has gone into overtime 4 times (4.0%)

'22 vs '20 Matchup Simulation Stats

• This game has been simulated 100 times.
• North Texas (2022) has won 36 times (36.0%), won by > 20 pts 1 times (1.0%)
• North Texas (2020) has won 64 times (64.0%), won by > 20 pts 12 times (12.0%)
• The average score is North Texas (2022): 62.6 - North Texas (2020): 66.8, decided by < 5 pts 38 times (38.0%)
• The average first half score is North Texas (2022): 31.7 - North Texas (2020): 33.9
• The game has gone into overtime 2 times (2.0%)

'22 vs '10 Matchup Simulation Stats

• This game has been simulated 100 times.
• North Texas (2022) has won 37 times (37.0%), won by > 20 pts 5 times (5.0%)
• North Texas (2010) has won 63 times (63.0%), won by > 20 pts 6 times (6.0%)
• The average score is North Texas (2022): 61.3 - North Texas (2010): 63.3, decided by < 5 pts 34 times (34.0%)
• The average first half score is North Texas (2022): 30.9 - North Texas (2010): 32.0
• The game has gone into overtime 3 times (3.0%)

'21 vs '20 Matchup Simulation Stats

• This game has been simulated 100 times.
• North Texas (2021) has won 45 times (45.0%), won by > 20 pts 4 times (4.0%)
• North Texas (2020) has won 55 times (55.0%), won by > 20 pts 9 times (9.0%)
• The average score is North Texas (2021): 67.3 - North Texas (2020): 68.7, decided by < 5 pts 27 times (27.0%)
• The average first half score is North Texas (2021): 33.5 - North Texas (2020): 34.7
• The game has gone into overtime 4 times (4.0%)

'21 vs '10 Matchup Simulation Stats

• This game has been simulated 100 times.
• North Texas (2021) has won 71 times (71.0%), won by > 20 pts 18 times (18.0%)
• North Texas (2010) has won 29 times (29.0%), won by > 20 pts 0 times (0.0%)
• The average score is North Texas (2021): 70.4 - North Texas (2010): 62.5, decided by < 5 pts 26 times (26.0%)
• The average first half score is North Texas (2021): 35.0 - North Texas (2010): 31.1
• The game has gone into overtime 4 times (4.0%)

'20 vs '10 Matchup Simulation Stats

• This game has been simulated 100 times.
• North Texas (2020) has won 72 times (72.0%), won by > 20 pts 19 times (19.0%)
• North Texas (2010) has won 28 times (28.0%), won by > 20 pts 3 times (3.0%)
• The average score is North Texas (2020): 71.2 - North Texas (2010): 63.8, decided by < 5 pts 34 times (34.0%)
• The average first half score is North Texas (2020): 35.8 - North Texas (2010): 31.9
• The game has gone into overtime 3 times (3.0%)