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Pre-conference tourney discussion


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SCHOOL CONF CPCT. OVERALL PCT. HOME AWAY NEUTRAL STREAK
South Florida 15-1 .938 22-5 .815 14-2 7-3 1-0 W14
Florida Atlantic 12-4 .750 22-7 .759 12-1 4-5 6-1 W1
Charlotte 11-5 .688 17-11 .607 12-2 4-7 1-2 L3
Memphis 11-6 .647 22-8 .733 13-2 7-5 2-1 W4
UAB 10-6 .625 18-11 .621 11-5 6-5 1-1 L2
SMU 10-6 .625 19-10 .655 13-3 5-6 1-1 L3
North Texas 9-7 .562 16-12 .571 11-3 4-5 1-4 W2
East Carolina 7-9 .438 14-15 .483 11-8 3-6 0-1 L3
Tulsa 6-11 .353 15-14 .517 13-4 2-9 0-1 W1
Rice 5-11 .312 11-18 .379 6-9 5-6 0-3 L2
Wichita State 5-12 .294 13-17 .433 10-5 2-9 1-3 W2
UTSA 5-12 .294 11-19 .367 7-8 4-11 0-0 W3
Tulane 4-12 .250 13-15 .464 10-6 2-7 1-2 L6
Temple 4-12 .250 11-18 .379 5-8 4-7 2-3 L1

Players and coaches lie all the time when they say they don't look at the scores/standings, or care about who they play in the tournament, but as fans we can do what we want.

With our win over ECU today, we have clinched no lower than the #7 seed. There are still three teams ahead of us currently that we could finish ahead of (Memphis - we own head-to-head, UAB - they win head-to-head, SMU - split season series), but we do not play any of them in our last two games. Here's what all three of those teams have left:

Memphis: 3/9 at FAU
UAB: 3/7 at Temple, 3/10 vs. SMU
SMU: 3/6 vs. ECU, 3/10 at UAB

There could be a great shot that three or four teams tie with 11 conference wins. At that point, I'm not sure what the tiebreaker is.

If you haven't seen it yet, here's what the conference tournament schedule would be with the seeding. Like I've talked about for a month now, the 6 or 7 seed would be better for game times to maximize homecourt advantage. #6 could likely avoid FAU until the semifinal.
https://theamerican.org/tournaments/?id=294

And if the tournament started today:
2024 American Men's Basketball Championship Schedule
Wednesday, March 13

Game 1 – No. 13 Tulane vs. No. 12 UTSA – 1 p.m. ET/Noon CT | ESPN+
Game 2 – No. 14 Temple vs. No. 11 Wichita State – 3 p.m. ET/2 p.m. CT | ESPN+
 
Thursday, March 14
Game 3 – No. 9 Tulsa vs. No. 8 East Carolina – 12:30 p.m. ET/11:30 a.m. CT | ESPNU
Game 4 – Tulane/UTSA vs. No. 5 UAB – 2:30 p.m. ET/1:30 p.m. CT | ESPNU
Game 5 – No. 10 Rice vs. No. 7 UNT – 7 p.m. ET/6 p.m. CT | ESPNU
Game 6 – Temple/Wichita State vs. No. 6 SMU – 9 p.m. ET/8 p.m. CT | ESPNU
 
Friday, March 15
Game 7 – Tulsa/ECU vs. No. 1 South Florida – 1 p.m. ET/Noon CT | ESPN2
Game 8 – Game 4 winner vs. No. 4 Memphis – 3 p.m. ET/2 p.m. CT | ESPN2
Game 9 – Game 5 winner vs. No. 2 FAU – 7 p.m. ET/6 p.m. CT | ESPNU
Game 10 – Game 6 winner vs. No. 3 Charlotte – 9 p.m. ET/8 p.m. CT | ESPNU
 
Saturday, March 16
Game 11 – Semifinal 1, Game 7 winner vs. Game 8 winner – 3 p.m. ET/2 p.m. CT | ESPN2
Game 12 – Semifinal 2, Game 9 winner vs. Game 10 winner – 5 p.m. ET/4 p.m. CT | ESPN2
 
Sunday, March 17
Game 13 – Championship, Game 11 winner vs. Game 12 winner – 3:15 p.m. ET/2:15 p.m. CT | ESPN

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I'd prefer not playing FAU as late as possible.  Even should we beat them on Wednesday, they're the team I least want to play in the tourney - even over USF.  Once the regular season is over and March Madness really begins, I feel like they'll flip the switch.  We all saw what they are capable of last year.

Edited by CMJ
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