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SteaminWillieBeamin last won the day on July 8

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About SteaminWillieBeamin

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  1. Thanks - I did not know that. I wonder what the threshold is.. https://www2.ed.gov/about/overview/fed/10facts/index.html#:~:text=The%20federal%20government's%20share%20is,sources%2C%20primarily%20for%20private%20schools. This says that ~8% of the budget is from the Federal Government. https://www.urban.org/sites/default/files/publication/99706/school_district_funding_in_texas.pdf 50/50 split on the state versus local funding in Texas. Yep - local taxes can't survive that if the state doesn't make exceptions.
  2. No Mark, I don't know him at all, nor his real life self. Zero. None. I don't claim to know. I know what he typed: "Kids need to be in school. I have zero fear of sending mine." He was not talking as a teacher with his two sentences. He was talking as a parent and his lack of fear for his kids. So.. That is what I responded to. If he has no fear for his fellow teachers or administrators - that is wonderful. I am glad he/she will be back in the classroom. </woke>
  3. I am so jealous that I didn't get some applause for my well thought out approach to wanting to get back to school, but always having the respect for the teachers at risk ... and my willingness to go whatever I can to do the best approach for the whole school community. I guess I should have just had a selfish reply about how *I* am not afraid for *my* kids -- and to hell with others.
  4. I always figured you for a soft porn over hard porn. So that is good - my compass is right.
  5. Why would school districts run out of money if it is tax payer driven? Why does physical attendance impact tax payments? Maybe I am misunderstanding the comment. It isn't only the students - it is the teacher safety. I know at kids school the teachers are on the upper end near retirement age. They may not make retirement if they are forced to teach in person and get a bad case. I am on the fence with this one - it is definitely tricky. I private school my kids - and they have more flexibility it seems. They are setting up medical task boards from physician parents and hosting seminars with child psychologists. It is a very lucky life - no doubt. However, one of their models they are allowing us to select is a hybrid approach with one week in class, then one week out of that classroom. The off independent week, the teacher will be at home leading instruction, BUT the kids can elect to come into the class and do their hybrid week actually on campus. It allows for parents that cannot work at home or don't feel the need for the home schooling. Seems like a logistic nightmare to me. For my multiple kids, will they all be in class the same week and off at home the same week too? If not, I will be at home with them full time anyhow, just carpooling more. It's insanity. But if we can limit the risk to the kids and faculty - then it is all worth it.
  6. @Censored by Laurie that twitter link sent me in to a rabbit hole that led to this: Some JB Neiman guy, who claims to be the attorney for 13 urgent care facilities in Texas -- yet has ZERO online presence. - No LinkedIn - No voter registration. - No driver license - No property taxes paid ... yet it seems like our conspiracy folks take it for gospel. The idea that the world is conspiring against Trump/GOP is backed by an anonymous email (fake name perhaps) that does not line up with my professional findings. Yet here we are. It is easier to believe some fool on twitter for the gospel. Somehow this invisible truth sayer blames the snowflakes for not seeking medical treatment early enough, so they end up in the ICU from other causes -- and THAT is how it explains the rise in hospitalizations, not COVID. And that they are in COVID units because it pays better (how? No idea). Not sure about how more testing of random people (who end up going to the ER for a TEST?!) ends up with a higher positive rate. That would lead it to a slower positive rate. But... you know... some JB Neiman on the internet typed an email to some social media reporter. MAGIC.
  7. Yep - without tracing - you will have them listed as unseasonal high deaths from seasonal allergies.
  8. Yes - there are a TON more deaths. I would consider 20k-5k more deaths a week over the standard deviation to be a TON. I don't know your definition. But I think a whole Apogee stadium of people dead in a week as a TON. Also note the CDC on their reporting - recent reporting is inaccurate since only 60% of deaths are reported within 10 days. So there can be a few week lag on numbers. I mean look at that... some of those really bad weeks in this pandemic shows expected trend to be less than 60k deaths for that week ... and we recorded close to pushing 80k. That is what contact tracing is trying to prevent -- another April and May in 5 cities.
  9. Starting June 20th the excess deaths started to normalize - it is about to rise to May numbers based on the last two days. The last three weeks have been fairly normal - but I would caveat that people are not out doing their normal things - so deaths should be down overall based on this new living condition. But even with that... from March 21st till June 20th.. the excess deaths were up to 40% more deaths than normal. Zoomed out your graph doesn't look so bad. But for three months time - there were up to 20k (subtracting COVID) deaths per week. Texas has 3,000 more excess pneumonia deaths for far for the year. Without probable-covid community tracing, the cause can not be accounted for.
  10. https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/products/databriefs/db67.htm#:~:text=The percentage of deaths for,frequently autopsied causes of death. For your notion to not believe numbers: "In 1972, almost 1 out of 5 deaths were autopsied. From 1972 through 2003, however, the autopsy rate dropped 58 percent from 19.3 percent to 8.1 percent. Although the autopsy rate has increased slightly since 2003, only 8.5 percent, or fewer than 1 out of 10 deaths, were autopsied in 2007" That is from the CDC itself. How can you trust the heart disease numbers? Cancer numbers? Alcohol poisoning deaths? There was no 100% confirmation. But when you find a person with an empty handle of Vodka in their bed .. you don't need it. Same for COVID. There are not shifting around of deaths here - there are still a TON more deaths. What accounts for that if not COVID? You think magically there is some other thing killing people?
  11. 1) As you know there is a resource problem. We can't run labs on all the excess deaths. It is not possible. Just purely, a waste of resources for a limited commodity for the living - when the dead do not care. I 2) The labs have a fairly high false NEGATIVE problem. It's well documented and it leads to the scarcity of tests. If a physician has to run two tests to try to compensate for the inherent false positive problem - we have an issue. 3) Medicine is 'practiced' as a they say. There are a lot of clues that need to be tied together to get a 'probable cause' and then they go with it and see how they can fix it. If a person is known to have a seizure condition and they drove off the road in a lightning storm, the medical examiner will not do an autopsy - they will make it a likely death from a seizure while driving. Yes? No one is going to to rip open their brain and try to prove it. They use context clues. Same for medicine. If they were near proximity to a positive COVID person, they are showing symptoms and but the FDA (other less accurate test) comes back false .... but all the other factors point to a COVID diagnosis, it should be noted as such. If this person ends up hospitalized - they will run another COVID test - and it should come back more accurately based on the probability .... and if they died of the symptoms of COVID ... put all the pieces together and call a duck a duck. You don't need to have some duck DNA expert to look at that dead duck. So yes - you should believe the numbers. The excess death numbers are THROUGH THE ROOF. Texas is way under reporting. Not requiring a positive PCR to call a COVID a COVID saves resources, time and lets medical reasoning prevail.
  12. First - you think all the 'died of heart attacks' numbers are accurate? You think that EVERY person found in their bed dead has some magical autopsy and we know for 100% sure that they died of artery disease? The answer is obviously no. We take the most likely cause and put it as the cause of death. So you wanting to not include excess deaths with high probably cause of COVID with all the COVID symptoms because they didn't actually get a test ... well... that is just crap. 1. That story is bullshit. I saw it passed around Twitter from people claiming to have a friend in their city where it happened. But even if were the case, it would help the story line of the administration that this a harmless virus. No harm done. 2. Huh? I think you have a narrow view of what an "underlying condition" is. In reality, being a Boomer like yourself, it is an underlying condition. No doubt you have some artery blockage, or some high blood pressure, maybe a pre-diabetes going on... but otherwise normal and healthy and going on with your life. I still take this serious for you. 3. Yep - agree here. She was in the COVID is not serious camp and her parents sent to her to a "COVID Party" to build up her immunity. They didn't want to report that and try to take care of it locally, it was just a cold. Poor young lady paid the price.
  13. Stanford without a synchronized swimming team. Or squash. How can this go on!!?
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