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meangreenJW

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meangreenJW last won the day on June 14 2018

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About meangreenJW

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  1. San Diego State gets a lot of DFW kids too. Has beat us on multiple recruits.
  2. They were resurfaced a couple years ago and scoreboards added. But center court would be nice!
  3. Correct. WKU is a Q2 loss according to Net. Not a bad loss at all. EMU is a Q3 loss.
  4. I've already said this once. We didn't "go after him" for the same reason Tulane dropped him. And it ain't academics, that's just PR spin. I posted links earlier but he was already found responsible by Tech's Title IX office for having sex with a girl too incapacitated to give consent. In searching his name on twitter when he announced he was transferring, there was some tweets about another sexual assault Tech was investigating. Add to that the other arrest and damage to property. He's a talent but too much of a risk for campuses in this day and age. I wouldn't be surprised if CMU drops him too when they take time to check with Tech. That's what I think happened at Tulane. Put it this way, you think Houston, SMU, Texas State, UTSA, etc. etc. wouldn't be after him if they didn't know it wasn't worth it? There's a reason he's headed to CMU.
  5. Some of you guys really stretch on negative. Here's what I think. It's obvious Seth wants to bring some aspects of the Briles offense. From the timing, my guess is he looked at other options. Maybe Kendall? Maybe Josh Lebby (who was hired at Ole Miss), maybe others. At the end of the day, the best option was O Line coach from Tulsa (Phil Mongtgomery is still known as the best OC Baylor ever had) and Tate Wallis who was the receivers coach of the year in college football while at Baylor. Seth will probably call the offense until one of those guys or Mainord proves they are ready. As for what I'm expecting, I'm expecting UCF style offense. Josh Heupel is an air raid guy but hired Josh Lebby and integrated some Baylor stuff. With Seth and Josh being close, my best guess is Seth wants to do something similar. As for the differences, I personally think Briles did run the ball more effectively than Air Raid. Always liked some the wider splits on the line, etc. Not sure how this looks early, but I can follow the logic and think the end product could be explosive.
  6. Seeing as how the best RB in school history is currently our RB coach and we hired him from a Denton ISD school so he'd be well aware of Kaedric, I'm going to assume there's a reason. Maybe it's depth, maybe something else. But I trust PC.
  7. There's a reason he winded up at Tulane vs another P5 or other G5 programs with better history. Pretty significant history of issues. https://www.lubbockonline.com/local/news/sports-red-raiders/2017-04-14/texas-tech-releases-title-ix-documents-duffey-suspension https://www.dallasnews.com/sports/2018/03/25/four-texas-tech-football-players-including-potential-starting-qb-jett-duffey-arrested-sunday-morning/
  8. That isn't correct. I've read up on this before. It's two sided (academic progress and retention). I certainly understand the confusion given the name it "Academic Progress Rate" but academic progress and retention receive the EXACT same number of points in the formula. Found a link from the NCAA that explains it in their language. http://www.ncaa.org/about/resources/research/academic-progress-rate-explained In my language, I think of it is a baseball average. Each athlete has four possible points (at bats). Two retention, two academic progress (one each for fall and spring term). Let's say makes academic progress in the fall and is retained for the spring, then makes academic progress in the spring but leaves the program (by their own choice or the coach's). The athlete got 3 out 4 points. Using our baseball analogy, the athlete batted .750. The NCAA required minimum is .930. So you'll 4 student-athletes going 4 out 4 to get back above the minimum. If you have one come in and not make academic progress and not be retained (losing two points), it take a LOT to make that up. The NCAA has a website where you can look up every school's APR for every sport. UNT basketball the last few years is posted below. Two quick things. 1) it got dangerously close to .930 under Benford. 2) It has improved every year under McCasland. Long story short, I get the criticism on should we have taken some of these players, but regardless of what some might think, the NCAA rules do not allow you to just send them packing anytime you want. Men's Basketball University of North Texas TX 2013-2014 941 Men's Basketball University of North Texas TX 2014-2015 947 Men's Basketball University of North Texas TX 2015-2016 958 Men's Basketball University of North Texas TX 2016-2017 964 Men's Basketball University of North Texas TX 2017-2018 966
  9. I've always felt home advantage is greatest in hoops. Don't have evidence to prove it but it has always felt that way to me.
  10. We moved from #125 to #120 in KenPom today. Here's predictions and probability for the rest of the season. When looking at individual games, KenPom has us winning 10 of the next 12. However, each of those have a probability associated with it. Some some of the wins would be more in doubt so official projection for the rest of the current schedule is 8-4. NOTE: Bonus play not currently factored in. Thu Jan 9 163 FIU W, 74-68 70 71% Home × Sat Jan 11 175 Florida Atlantic W, 66-60 63 72% Home × Thu Jan 16 271 Southern Miss W, 66-62 63 66% Away × Sat Jan 18 56 Louisiana Tech L, 71-62 64 20% Away × Mon Jan 20 198 Rice W, 73-65 67 78% Home × Thu Jan 23 217 UTSA W, 77-68 68 80% Home × Sat Jan 25 123 UTEP W, 64-60 63 63% Home × Sat Feb 1 198 Rice W, 70-68 67 55% Away × Thu Feb 6 286 Middle Tennessee W, 71-65 66 71% Away × Sat Feb 8 172 UAB L, 61-60 61 46% Away × Thu Feb 13 167 Charlotte W, 63-57 62 70% Home × Sat Feb 15 178 Old Dominion W, 63-57 63 72% Home × Projected record: 15-12 9-5 Projected record is based on cumulative probabilities of winning each game and may not equal the sum of individual game predictions.
  11. I do follow it. I think it's a little better predictor in football. For me its a secondary one I look at in hoops.
  12. I really lean on the data. Normally by this time of year it starts being pretty reliable. I look at three particular rankings. RPI, KenPom, the new Net Score. KenPom and Net Score are my favorites in that order because they measure more than record and SOS (Strength of Schedule). They measure offensive and defensive efficiencies, pace of play, etc. RPI currently predicts us to be 9-5 in conference before bonus play, KenPom predicts 8-6 before bonus play. Also of note, as of today we are ranked #2 in CUSA in the NCAA's net score, #4 in KenPom and #7 in RPI. KenPom's overall rank is the adustedEm number. That is the number that has UNT #4. So as of today, they are all predicting us to be in the hunt. This is also the closest I've ever seen the top half of the league in rankings in all of these. Lastly, I don't think RPI is used by the NCAA anymore but it was used so long I still track a couple websites that keep it. 1) The Old RPI Rank Team W/L vs D1 RPI SOS Rnk SOS 117 Rice 7-6 0.5305 130 0.5176 121 W. Kentucky 8-5 0.5275 148 0.5094 131 Louisiana Tech 8-4 0.5219 296 0.4458 142 UTEP 6-6 0.5126 133 0.5168 158 UAB 7-5 0.5005 217 0.4814 166 Marshall 7-7 0.4955 145 0.5107 184 North Texas 4-9 0.4870 62 0.5524 199 Old Dominion 6-9 0.4804 118 0.5241 223 Charlotte 7-6 0.4666 273 0.4587 224 Florida Atlantic 7-5 0.4661 323 0.4321 250 Florida Intl. 7-5 0.4557 347 0.3993 265 Southern Miss 2-10 0.4454 84 0.5365 287 MTSU 1-10 0.4276 101 0.5278 288 UTSA 3-9 0.4273 215 0.4831 2) KENPOM Team Overall Conf Proj AdjEM AdjO AdjD AdjT Conf SOS Next Game Louisiana Tech 10-3 1-0 11-3 +12.26 61 107.5 43 95.2 83 69.5 192 -3.15 10 Sat, vs 270 Southern Miss 5:00 PM (W, 77-59, 94%) Western Kentucky 8-5 1-0 9-5 +6.11 103 108.2 32 102.0 203 70.4 149 -2.08 9 Sat, vs 202 Rice 5:00 PM (W, 83-73, 83%) Marshall 7-7 1-0 8-6 +2.11 136 100.8 163 98.6 139 76.0 12 -7.76 12 Sat, vs 125 North Texas 2:00 PM (W, 73-70, 59%) FIU 10-4 1-0 8-6 +0.41 163 99.7 184 99.3 146 76.0 11 -0.86 8 Sat, vs 215 UTSA 7:00 PM (W, 85-77, 74%) Charlotte 7-5 1-0 8-6 +0.28 165 94.6 288 94.3 73 66.9 294 -5.10 11 Sat, vs 287 Middle Tennessee 4:00 PM (W, 71-60, 84%) Florida Atlantic 9-5 1-0 7-7 -0.86 175 96.8 247 97.7 121 68.2 247 -9.15 13 Sat, vs 119 UTEP 4:00 PM (W, 63-62, 51%) Old Dominion 5-9 1-0 7-7 -1.20 180 92.5 311 93.7 65 68.1 253 -15.47 14 Sat, vs 161 UAB 7:00 PM (W, 60-57, 59%) UTEP 9-5 0-1 8-6 +3.85 119 97.2 237 93.4 60 68.5 236 +5.10 5 Sat, at 175 Florida Atlantic 4:00 PM (L, 63-62, 49%) North Texas 6-8 0-1 8-6 +3.34 125 103.8 104 100.4 164 64.4 343 +11.51 1 Sat, at 136 Marshall 2:00 PM (L, 73-70, 41%) UAB 9-5 0-1 7-7 +0.55 161 97.8 220 97.3 114 65.1 337 +5.92 4 Sat, at 180 Old Dominion 7:00 PM (L, 60-57, 41%) Rice 8-6 0-1 6-8 -3.30 202 100.4 169 103.7 246 72.6 53 +6.55 3 Sat, at 103 Western Kentucky 5:00 PM (L, 83-73, 17%) UTSA 6-8 0-1 5-9 -4.31 215 101.2 150 105.5 294 74.3 24 +3.96 6 Sat, at 163 FIU 7:00 PM (L, 85-77, 26%) Southern Miss 4-10 0-1 4-10 -8.33 270 94.8 281 103.2 232 68.0 257 +7.07 2 Sat, at 61 Louisiana Tech 5:00 PM (L, 77-59, 6%) Middle Tennessee 4-10 0-1 3-11 -10.45 287 95.4 269 105.8 297 71.8 89 +3.80 7 Sat, at 165 Charlotte 4:00 PM (L, 71-60, 16%) 3) NCAA's Net Score Rank Prev School Conf Rec Road Neut Home Non D1 69 71 Louisiana Tech C-USA 8-3 3-3 0-0 5-0 2-0 111 109 North Texas C-USA 4-8 1-4 0-2 3-2 2-0 116 119 Western Ky. C-USA 7-5 1-2 2-2 4-1 1-0 123 115 UTEP C-USA 6-5 0-4 1-1 5-0 3-0 133 132 Charlotte C-USA 7-5 1-4 0-0 6-1 0-0 138 161 FIU C-USA 7-4 3-3 1-1 3-0 3-0 152 153 Old Dominion C-USA 5-9 1-4 0-3 4-2 0-0 170 202 Marshall C-USA 6-7 1-4 1-0 4-3 1-0 197 179 UAB C-USA 7-5 1-3 2-0 4-2 2-0 215 229 Fla. Atlantic C-USA 6-5 1-4 0-0 5-1 3-0 228 206 Rice C-USA 6-6 2-3 2-1 2-2 2-0 264 245 UTSA C-USA 3-8 1-3 0-4 2-1 3-0 293 295 Southern Miss. C-USA 1-10 0-4 0-3 1-3 3-0 309 299 Middle Tenn. C-USA 1-10 1-4 0-3 0-3 3-0
  13. NCAA APR requirements makes it real hard to just jettison kids you don't think can play. Especially in sports with small rosters. I don't fully understand the calculations but you are penalized/rewarded points for both eligibility AND retention. A few dismissals and you can get in bad place including probation. I believe Benfords last two seasons and Grant's first we were really close to the required APR score. It's a 4 year average but we're probably still digging out.
  14. JD has criticized this staff and Littrell at times. He's shown to be objective. You, on the other hand, are the most negative poster on this board. In fact, you seem to know more than all of our coaches, administrators, players and everyone else. It seems Seth should just hire you.
  15. Some people on here are so unrealistic. Who’d you want us to get? Let’s talk real names. Barry Odom- ? - he got $1 million at Arkansas, Ryan Walters - ? - Mizzou kept him and he makes close to $1 million, Gibbs -? - staying at Mizzou for $700k. I’ll give 10-1 odds that Orlando ends up making $700k or more somewhere. I have no idea what we’re gonna pay but let’s say it’s $400k which by far is the highest coordinator salary in cusa. Which of you would take 43% less money to do a job? So choices are up and comer who’s going to be inexperienced. Or a retread who is experienced but needs a fresh start after being fired. Glenn Spencer at FAU was fired from okie state, diaco fired from UConn. Seems to me that SL took his time, waited to see who’d be available and hired the best one. Someone that former coworkers obviously thought highly of. Seth’s mentor Mangino has a son on our staff for God sakes so I’ll bet he doesn’t want the staff to be bad and His son be without a job and he speaks highly of him. I don’t know if Bowen will be good or not. Time will tell. NONE OF YOU know either. What I do know is everyone screamed like hell for a change. This is a coach with a different philosophy hired by SL who for the 1st time is under immense pressure on a hire so I’m going to give it a chance instead of bitching about a lot of guys we couldn’t afford and had no reasonable shot to get not being hired. Edit: I also think the Big 12 is the best offensive conference in football and DCs from there have seen way more than most.
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