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Will coaching carousel hit Group of 5 soon?


Greenrex

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Chris, I can’t remember a season where so many coaches were fired before we reached the midpoint of the season. However, the carnage has yet to hit the Group of 5 programs (coordinators notwithstanding). Why is this so? Is this just an aberration, and we will soon see several Group of 5 coaches get fired, or is there a reason why Group of 5 schools hold on to their coaches longer than their Power 5 counterparts? — David W.

Great, timely question. Head coach firings early in the season are rare in the Group of 5 because the expectations are lower, the boosters aren’t as plentiful and there is less to be gained from getting a massive head start on a search.

Starting with expectations: Group of 5 schools that hope to win 10 games don’t typically fire a coach for winning six, for example, so those coaches have the opportunity to turn things around. A year ago, North Texas started 1-6 and it felt like Seth Littrell could be fired any day. But the Mean Green stuck with him and UNT won its final five games to reach a bowl. They’re 3-3 this season and a bowl is possible again. There also typically isn’t a large and vocal fan and booster base to please by sacrificing a coach (see: Auburn), and G5 schools would rather not pay a buyout to fire a coach when dollars are tight, so coaches often get as much time as possible.

 

https://theathletic.com/3658273/2022/10/05/boise-state-college-football-coaching-carousel/?source=freedailyemail&campaign=601983

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If we go 6-6, Littrell is fired and we have an interim HC for the bowl game. 

It gets interesting at 7-5. Does Wren give him a chance to win the bowl game to finish with a respectable 8-5 record or do we pull the plug and not potentially waste 2-3 weeks on the coaching search? Because I don’t think there’s a chance Littrell is back if we lose the bowl game and finish 7-6. 

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