North Texas Mean Green vs. UAB Blazers Betting Prediction

[Philip Ferguson]

Finally, some real analysis...SU Winner – North Texas, ATS Winner – North Texas, O/U – Over

https://www.bangthebook.com/north-texas-vs-uab-free-pick-10-20-2018/

[Philip Ferguson]

The Blazers started off as a one-point favorite at home but the line has shifted to their being a one-point underdog at this point.  If you look at the schedules it is clear who has played the superior opposition to this point, and not only that, the team that has (North Texas, duh) has beaten some of that superior competition.  Arkansas may be having a down year, but teams like the Mean Green do not typically waltz into SEC country and act like they own the place with buttwhoopin’s like the one they gave the Hogs.  Just too much mean in this Green to go any other direction with your play.

Prediction: Pick: North Texas -1

https://statsalt.com/games/ncaaf/10-20-2018/north-texas-vs-uab-expert-prediction-3079/

[Harry]

5 minutes ago, Philip Ferguson said:

The Blazers started off as a one-point favorite at home but the line has shifted to their being a one-point underdog at this point.  If you look at the schedules it is clear who has played the superior opposition to this point, and not only that, the team that has (North Texas, duh) has beaten some of that superior competition.  Arkansas may be having a down year, but teams like the Mean Green do not typically waltz into SEC country and act like they own the place with buttwhoopin’s like the one they gave the Hogs.  Just too much mean in this Green to go any other direction with your play.

Prediction: Pick: North Texas -1

https://statsalt.com/games/ncaaf/10-20-2018/north-texas-vs-uab-expert-prediction-3079/

Funny you mention that Phil - Evan just stated on the podcast that we were 1.5 dogs and the vegas line I just looked at stated we were 1 to 1.5 favs so it seems to be moving for sure.

[KingDL1]

My app had us 1 point favorites on monday 

[Philip Ferguson]

2 minutes ago, Harry said:

Funny you mention that Phil - Evan just stated on the podcast that we were 1.5 dogs and the vegas line I just looked at stated we were 1 to 1.5 favs so it seems to be moving for sure.

I think experts are taking a closer look at the "who" part of this match-up vs. just game stats up to this point.  Underdog Dynasty does the best job at predicting in my opinion, and they should publish their analysis tomorrow.  I expect them to say a UNT win by 6+  GMG

[strikes]

For what it's worth... ESPN has UAB at a -1.5 but espn can definitely be wrong... really wrong... they had Akansas as like a 20 point winner iirc.

[Greenrex]

Thankfully, our founding fathers provided football fields, footballs, and other equipment for the purpose of good young men to engage other young men of dubious motivation in these scenarios outside the realm of Las Vegas, Nevada resulting in comparative scores.

[GreenN'walinsVet]

I truly think that if we should up and play our A game, we win going away.  That being said, if we show up with our B game it will be toss up, and of course we show up with our C game (ala La Tech) we are done for year in the conference race.