While my "get on the record" prediction of 11-3 is still possible, it is hard to say probable with Rico out for the season. Now I see a serious challenge just to get bowl eligible. We need four more wins. MTSU, UTEP, and Rice need to be three of those wins. The other games are at USM (3-2, 1-0 beat UTEP), at Charlotte (2-3. 0-1 loss to FAU), at La Tech (4-1, 2-0 beat FIU and Rice), and regular season finale at home against UAB (3-1, 0-1, lost to WKU). The next game is always the most important, and the game at USM could be that other win we need to get us back on track.
Conference USA does not look particularly strong this year, and I think we are capable of sweeping conference games to finish regular season 9-3. The team that was on the field Saturday is just as likely to finish 5-7.