I saw this on Twitter/X by @TJAltimore and thought it was interesting. I really thought we’d rank higher but the methodology made sense.
From his tweet the modeling methodology.
HOW THIS MODEL CALCULATES SCORES:
For each factor, a range of metrics were weighted based on expert input, evaluated based on quantifiable data, and scored with statistical comparisons.
Below is a quick overview of the methodology used in scoring. Please note that all individual data points are publicly available.
Any school officials, conf officials, clients, or media staff with questions are free to reach out, and I’d be happy to set up time walk you through relevant data / findings / benchmarks, or custom analysis that may be of interest.
🏈 FOOTBALL SUCCESS:
(Most heavily weighted, by far)
– On-Field Success (Last 5 Year, Last 20 Years, All-Time)
– TV Attractiveness (2016-23 – Total Viewers, Avg. Viewers, Rated Games, Network Games)
– Fan Support and Facilities
– Resources & Investment
📊 MARKET POTENTIAL:
– Local Regional Market
– State Market
– Football Prominence Rank in State
🏆 ATHLETIC & HOOPS SUCCESS:
– Resources / Investment
– Scale (Teams / Athletes)
– On-Field Success (DC Points / Team NCs / Athlete NCs)
– Basketball Success (Last 5 Year, Last 20 Years, All-Time Tourney Success)
– Basketball Fan Support
🎓 INSTITUTIONAL RESOURCES & ACADEMIC SUCCESS:
– U.S. Institutional Rank (USN & WR)
– Global Rank (ARWU/SR + THE ranks)
– Research (Single Campus / Aggregated)
– Resources (Budgets / Endowments)
– Size & Scale (Enrollment / Graduates / FTE Staff)
– Popularity (Applications / Yield Rate)
– Selectivity (Admit Rate)
✅ KEY BONUS FACTORS:
– AAU Membership
– State Flagship Status
– Land-Grant Status
– Elite Academic Status (Top 100 NatU / LAs)
– Established Power Conf. Member (Pre-2023)
🚨 NEGATIVE RISK DEDUCTIONS:
– Problematic School Scandals
– Control Risks and School Leadership Issues
Note that any conferences, schools, and networks will have different factors that matter to them, and they will particularly vary based on TV contract considerations, carriage fee arrangements, rivalries and connections, and distributions of current members. As such, this can only provide a general quantification for illustrative comparison.